Exit polls released after the Bavarian state election on Sunday suggest the far‑right Alternative for Germany (AfD) is poised to claim a historic lead over the incumbent Christian Social Union (CSU). The poll, conducted by Forsa on behalf of several media outlets, puts the AfD at 32 % of the vote, compared with 28 % for the CSU and 22 % for the Greens. Analysts attribute the shift to growing concerns over immigration, energy prices, and perceived neglect of rural communities. Coalition talks are expected to be complex, with the CSU reportedly reluctant to partner with the AfD, while the Greens and SPD explore a possible “traffic light” alliance. The results have ignited nationwide debates about the future of Germany’s political centre.
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